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Election Center 2025

author:Release time:2025-10-08classification:LATEST NEWSread:870 ℃comment:420 comment

This November, two blue states where President Donald Trump gained ground in 2024 will elect new governors — offering a potential preview of next year’s critical midterms. In New York City, voters will choose a mayor to lead the nation’s largest city for the next four years. Plus, special congressional elections this year will impact the balance of power in a closely divided House of Representatives.

October 7 contests

Tennessee House 7 special primary

Tennessee’s 7th congressional district, which includes rural areas and parts of Nashville, has been without representation since Republican Rep. Mark Green resigned in July. Republican Matt Van Epps, who was endorsed by President Donald Trump, won a crowded GOP primary, while state Rep. Aftyn Behn won the Democratic primary. The district voted for Trump by 22 points, so Van Epps will be favored in the December 2 general election.

  • Projected Winner

Tennessee: House 7 Republican Special Primary

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Matt Van Epps

Republican

51.6%

19,001

9,666 ahead

Jody Barrett

Republican

25.3%

9,335

Gino Bulso

Republican

10.9%

4,004

Lee Reeves

Republican

5.2%

1,929

Mason Foley

Republican

2.8%

1,022

Stewart Parks

Republican

1.6%

595

Jason Knight

Republican

1.0%

381

Stuart Cooper

Republican

0.6%

239

Tres Wittum

Republican

0.4%

133

Joe Leurs

Republican

0.3%

122

Adolph Agbeko Dagan

Republican

0.3%

93

NashvilleMemphisKnoxvilleChattanooga
Leading
Van epps

Results by county

county
Matt Van EppsJody BarrettGino BulsoLee ReevesMason FoleyStewart ParksJason KnightStuart CooperTres WittumJoe LeursAdolph Agbeko Dagan
Benton
Est. 99% in
51.5%
335
20.2%
131
18.9%
123
2.6%
17
1.7%
11
3.8%
25
0.2%
1
0.6%
4
0.3%
2
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
Cheatham
Est. 99% in
57.7%
1,691
23.2%
680
8.0%
234
4.0%
116
3.1%
90
1.4%
42
0.9%
26
0.5%
14
0.4%
13
0.6%
17
0.2%
7
Davidson
Est. 99% in
52.1%
1,359
18.2%
474
12.2%
317
6.1%
158
5.0%
130
2.0%
52
1.3%
34
0.9%
25
0.9%
24
0.5%
14
0.8%
20
Decatur
Est. 99% in
58.3%
427
16.4%
120
9.8%
72
3.7%
27
0.8%
6
7.9%
58
1.4%
10
1.0%
7
0.5%
4
0.1%
1
0.1%
1
Dickson
Est. 99% in
36.0%
1,504
52.7%
2,201
6.1%
256
3.0%
124
0.8%
32
0.7%
29
0.1%
6
0.2%
11
0.1%
5
0.2%
7
0.1%
3
Hickman
Est. 99% in
28.7%
567
52.7%
1,041
10.1%
199
3.0%
59
1.3%
26
2.7%
54
0.4%
8
0.5%
10
0.2%
4
0.2%
4
0.1%
2
Houston
Est. 99% in
34.6%
232
24.6%
165
31.9%
214
2.2%
15
0.6%
4
3.4%
23
0.4%
3
1.3%
9
0.3%
2
0.3%
2
0.1%
1
Humphreys
Est. 99% in
47.6%
568
30.8%
368
12.2%
146
4.0%
48
2.6%
31
1.0%
12
0.5%
6
0.9%
11
0.2%
2
0.0%
0
0.1%
1
Montgomery
Est. 99% in
66.9%
5,837
13.1%
1,148
10.5%
915
3.5%
307
1.2%
108
0.6%
51
2.4%
215
0.5%
41
0.4%
33
0.6%
50
0.3%
24
Perry
Est. 99% in
46.0%
230
33.4%
167
12.2%
61
2.6%
13
0.4%
2
3.6%
18
0.8%
4
0.6%
3
0.2%
1
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
Robertson
Est. 99% in
64.2%
2,810
14.3%
628
11.5%
503
3.5%
153
3.2%
141
1.6%
69
0.6%
25
0.5%
21
0.3%
13
0.1%
7
0.2%
8
Stewart
Est. 99% in
58.6%
590
14.6%
147
16.3%
164
3.4%
34
0.6%
6
4.0%
40
1.6%
16
0.2%
2
0.2%
2
0.4%
4
0.1%
1
Wayne
Est. 99% in
50.9%
457
29.8%
268
7.7%
69
3.3%
30
3.0%
27
4.5%
40
0.2%
2
0.6%
5
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
Williamson
Est. 99% in
37.4%
2,394
28.0%
1,797
11.4%
731
12.9%
828
6.4%
408
1.3%
82
0.4%
25
1.2%
76
0.4%
28
0.2%
16
0.4%
23
Updated 12:13 p.m. ET, Oct. 8
  • Projected Winner

Tennessee: House 7 Democratic Special Primary

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Aftyn Behn

Democratic

27.9%

8,648

932 ahead

Darden Copeland

Democratic

24.9%

7,716

Bo Mitchell

Democratic

24.2%

7,492

Vincent Dixie

Democratic

23.0%

7,146

NashvilleMemphisKnoxvilleChattanooga
Leading
Behn

Results by county

county
Aftyn BehnDarden CopelandBo MitchellVincent Dixie
Benton
Est. 99% in
21.0%
36
39.8%
68
38.0%
65
1.2%
2
Cheatham
Est. 99% in
24.7%
397
31.8%
510
37.4%
601
6.1%
98
Davidson
Est. 99% in
28.4%
3,914
13.5%
1,855
21.1%
2,914
37.0%
5,103
Decatur
Est. 99% in
8.8%
19
34.9%
75
54.9%
118
1.4%
3
Dickson
Est. 99% in
24.9%
376
26.4%
400
45.2%
684
3.5%
53
Hickman
Est. 99% in
13.3%
57
38.4%
164
44.5%
190
3.7%
16
Houston
Est. 99% in
27.7%
56
40.1%
81
29.2%
59
3.0%
6
Humphreys
Est. 99% in
15.1%
81
35.3%
189
46.2%
247
3.4%
18
Montgomery
Est. 99% in
28.8%
1,931
32.0%
2,145
18.1%
1,216
21.1%
1,419
Perry
Est. 99% in
9.4%
15
23.1%
37
66.2%
106
1.2%
2
Robertson
Est. 99% in
23.1%
372
42.2%
678
25.9%
417
8.7%
140
Stewart
Est. 99% in
17.3%
56
53.7%
174
24.7%
80
4.3%
14
Wayne
Est. 99% in
9.7%
15
49.4%
76
36.4%
56
4.5%
7
Williamson
Est. 99% in
36.8%
1,323
35.2%
1,264
20.6%
739
7.4%
265
Updated 12:13 p.m. ET, Oct. 8

September 23 contests

Arizona House 7 special election

In Arizona’s 7th congressional district, which stretches from the Phoenix area south to the Mexican border and includes parts of Tucson, Democrat Adelita Grijalva, a former county supervisor, will fill the congressional seat vacated by her late father, longtime Democratic Rep. Raul Grijalva. Republican Daniel Butierrez is a contractor who ran against the elder Grijalva last year. Grijalva’s win will likely provide enough support to force a vote on releasing more files related to the Jeffrey Epstein case.

  • Projected Winner

Arizona: House 7 Special Election

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Adelita Grijalva

Democratic

68.9%

70,148

40,204 ahead

Daniel Butierez

Republican

29.4%

29,944

Eduardo Quintana

Green

1.1%

1,118

Richard Grayson

No Labels

0.5%

537

PhoenixTucson
Leading
Grijalva

Results by county

county
Adelita GrijalvaDaniel ButierezEduardo QuintanaRichard Grayson
Cochise
Est. 99% in
71.1%
3,327
27.3%
1,277
1.2%
56
0.4%
21
Maricopa
Est. 99% in
67.8%
6,221
30.5%
2,800
1.0%
94
0.7%
60
Pima
Est. 99% in
70.3%
49,992
28.1%
19,982
1.1%
793
0.5%
364
Pinal
Est. 99% in
36.7%
275
61.3%
460
0.8%
6
1.2%
9
Santa Cruz
Est. 99% in
69.7%
4,912
29.1%
2,047
0.8%
56
0.4%
28
Yuma
Est. 99% in
60.4%
5,421
37.7%
3,378
1.3%
113
0.6%
55
Updated 1:09 p.m. ET, Oct. 1

September 9 contests

Virginia House 11 special election

Fairfax County Supervisor James Walkinshaw will replace his former boss, longtime Democratic Rep. Gerry Connolly, as the representative for this district in the Northern Virginia suburbs of Washington D.C. Walkinshaw defeated lobbyist and former FBI agent Stewart Whitson. The Democratic victory further tightens the narrow GOP majority in the House.

  • Projected Winner

Virginia: House 11 Special Election

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

James Walkinshaw

Democratic

75.3%

113,596

76,299 ahead

Stewart Whitson

Republican

24.7%

37,297

RichmondVirginia BeachNorfolk
Leading
Walkinshaw

Results by county

county
James WalkinshawStewart Whitson
Fairfax
Est. 99% in
75.3%
109,595
24.7%
35,935
Fairfax City
Est. 99% in
74.6%
4,001
25.4%
1,362
Updated 1:09 p.m. ET, Oct. 1

Boston non-partisan mayoral primary

Progressive Boston Mayor Michelle Wu and Josh Kraft, a son of New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft, will face off in a non-partisan general election on November 4.

Boston: Mayor Non-partisan Primary

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Michelle Wu*

72.0%

66,398

45,074 ahead

Josh Kraft

23.1%

21,324

Domingos DaRosa

2.6%

2,409

Robert Cappucci

2.2%

2,074

August 5 contests

Detroit non-partisan mayoral primary

Nine candidates are running for mayor of Detroit hoping to replace outgoing mayor Mike Duggan, who has launched an independent bid for governor rather than seek a 4th term in office. The race is formally non-partisan with the top two candidates advancing to the general election on November 4.

Detroit: Mayor Non-partisan Primary

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Mary Sheffield

50.8%

43,597

28,697 ahead

Solomon Kinloch

17.4%

14,900

Saunteel Jenkins

16.0%

13,738

Todd Perkins

5.4%

4,603

James Craig

5.2%

4,458

Fred Durhal

3.4%

2,902

John Barlow

0.8%

707

DaNetta Simpson

0.6%

538

Joel Haashiim

0.4%

349

July 15 contests

Arizona House 7 special primary

Arizona’s 7th congressional district, which stretches from the Phoenix area south to the Mexican border and includes parts of Tucson, has been without representation since long-time Democratic Rep. Raul Grijalva died in March. Grijalva’s daughter Adelita, a former county supervisor, won the Democratic primary against 25-year-old political content creator Deja Foxx and former state Rep. Daniel Hernandez. She’ll be favored in the September 23 general election against Republican Daniel Butierez.

  • Projected Winner

Arizona: House 7 Democratic Special Primary

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Adelita Grijalva

Democratic

61.5%

38,679

24,601 ahead

Deja Foxx

Democratic

22.4%

14,078

Daniel Hernandez

Democratic

13.6%

8,541

Patrick Harris

Democratic

1.4%

925

Jose Malvido

Democratic

1.1%

687

PhoenixTucson
Leading
Grijalva
  • Projected Winner

Arizona: House 7 Republican Special Primary

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Daniel Butierez

Republican

60.9%

11,121

6,527 ahead

Jorge Rivas

Republican

25.1%

4,594

Jimmy Rodriguez

Republican

14.0%

2,549

PhoenixTucson
Leading
Butierez

June 24 contests

New York City mayoral primary

Zohran Mamdani officially clinched the Democratic nomination in the race to become New York City’s next mayor on July 1, pulling off a stunning upset over former governor Andrew Cuomo. While Mamdani, a 33-year-old democratic socialist, had been all but assured to be the party’s nominee after the June 24 primary, he hadn’t won a majority of first-round votes. It took a tabulation of the city’s ranked-choice votes to put Mamdani over 50% he needed to win.

  • Key Race

  • Projected Winner

New York City: Mayor Democratic Primary Ranked Choice Result

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Zohran Mamdani

Democratic

56.4%

573,169

129,940 ahead

Andrew Cuomo

Democratic

43.6%

443,229

  • Key Race

New York City: Mayor Democratic Primary

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Zohran Mamdani

Democratic

43.8%

469,642

82,505 ahead

Andrew Cuomo

Democratic

36.1%

387,137

Brad Lander

Democratic

11.3%

120,634

Adrienne Adams

Democratic

4.1%

44,192

Scott Stringer

Democratic

1.7%

17,820

Zellnor Myrie

Democratic

1.0%

10,593

Whitney Tilson

Democratic

0.8%

8,443

Michael Blake

Democratic

0.4%

4,366

Jessica Ramos

Democratic

0.4%

4,273

Paperboy Prince

Democratic

0.1%

1,560

Selma Bartholomew

Democratic

0.1%

1,489

Leading
Mamdani
Cuomo

June 17 contests

Virginia results

The field for November’s governor election is already set with Republican Winsome Earle-Sears, Virginia’s lieutenant governor, facing former Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger but Democrats picked their nominees for lieutenant governor and attorney general. Republicans already had their nominees for both offices.

  • Projected Winner

Virginia: Lt. Governor Democratic Primary

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Ghazala Hashmi

Democratic

27.5%

136,717

4,952 ahead

Levar Stoney

Democratic

26.5%

131,765

Aaron Rouse

Democratic

26.2%

130,485

Babur Lateef

Democratic

8.5%

42,099

Alexander Bastani

Democratic

5.7%

28,476

Victor Salgado

Democratic

5.6%

27,593

RichmondVirginia BeachNorfolk
Leading
Lateef
Bastani
Stoney
Hashmi
Rouse
  • Projected Winner

Virginia: Attorney General Democratic Primary

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Jay Jones

Democratic

51.1%

252,976

11,007 ahead

Shannon Taylor

Democratic

48.9%

241,969

RichmondVirginia BeachNorfolk
Leading
Taylor
Jones
Tie

June 10 contests

New Jersey results

Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill defeated a crowded field of challengers, including mayors Ras Baraka of Newark and Steven Fulop of Jersey City to get the chance to replace outgoing Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy. On the Republican side, President Donald Trump’s endorsement helped 2021 nominee Jack Ciattarelli defeat conservative former talk radio host Bill Spadea. In November, Democrats will try to win a third consecutive term in the governor’s mansion, something that hasn’t happened since the 1960s, while Republicans hope to capitalize on their recent gains in the traditionally blue state.

  • Key Race

  • Projected Winner

New Jersey: Governor Democratic primary

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Mikie Sherrill

Democratic

34.0%

286,244

112,293 ahead

Ras Baraka

Democratic

20.7%

173,951

Steven Fulop

Democratic

16.0%

134,573

Josh Gottheimer

Democratic

11.6%

97,384

Sean Spiller

Democratic

10.6%

89,472

Steve Sweeney

Democratic

7.1%

59,811

TrentonNewarkPaterson
Leading
Sweeney
Baraka
Spiller
Gottheimer
Sherrill
  • Key Race

  • Projected Winner

New Jersey: Governor Republican primary

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Jack Ciattarelli

Republican

67.8%

316,283

214,875 ahead

Bill Spadea

Republican

21.7%

101,408

Jon Bramnick

Republican

6.2%

29,130

Mario Kranjac

Republican

2.7%

12,782

Justin Barbera

Republican

1.4%

6,743

TrentonNewarkPaterson
Leading
Ciattarelli

April 1 contests

Florida results

Republicans won two special Congressional elections in Florida, which were held to replace former GOP Reps. Michael Waltz and Matt Gaetz. While Waltz and Gaetz both won by more than 30 percentage points in November, the special election results were considerably closer.

  • Projected Winner

Florida: House 1

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Jimmy Patronis

Republican

56.9%

97,335

25,031 ahead

Gay Valimont

Democratic

42.3%

72,304

Stephen Broden

No Party Affiliation

0.8%

1,382

TallahasseeJacksonvilleMiamiTampaOrlando
Leading Party
Rep
Lead
Win
Flip
  • Key Race

  • Projected Winner

Florida: House 6

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Randy Fine

Republican

56.7%

110,764

27,279 ahead

Josh Weil

Democratic

42.7%

83,485

Andrew Parrott

Libertarian

0.3%

701

Randall Terry

No Party Affiliation

0.3%

525

TallahasseeJacksonvilleMiamiTampaOrlando
Leading Party
Rep
Lead
Win
Flip

Wisconsin results

Dane County Circuit Court Judge Susan Crawford won an open seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court to maintain the court’s 4-3 liberal majority. Crawford easily won the non-partisan race, despite Trump’s narrow 2024 victory in the state. Voters also approved a ballot measure to enshrine the state’s voter ID requirement in the state constitution and reelected the state’s Superintendent of Public Instruction.

  • Key Race

  • Projected Winner

Wisconsin: Supreme Court

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Susan Crawford

Non-Partisan

55.1%

1,301,153

238,740 ahead

Brad Schimel

Non-Partisan

44.9%

1,062,413

MadisonMilwaukeeGreen BayKenosha
Leading
Crawford
Schimel
  • Projected Winner

Wisconsin: Question 1

Add voter ID requirement to state constitution?
OPTIONPERCENTVOTES

Yes


62.8%

1,436,404

584,152 ahead

No


37.2%

852,252

MadisonMilwaukeeGreen BayKenosha
Leading
No
Yes
  • Projected Winner

Wisconsin: Superintendent of Public Instruction

CANDIDATEPERCENTVOTES

Jill Underly*

Non-Partisan

52.9%

1,148,462

126,081 ahead

Brittany Kinser

Non-Partisan

47.1%

1,022,381

MadisonMilwaukeeGreen BayKenosha
Leading
Underly
Kinser

Source: Results data via The Associated Press; Projections by CNN


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