This November, two blue states where President Donald Trump gained ground in 2024 will elect new governors — offering a potential preview of next year’s critical midterms. In New York City, voters will choose a mayor to lead the nation’s largest city for the next four years. Plus, special congressional elections this year will impact the balance of power in a closely divided House of Representatives.
October 7 contests
Tennessee House 7 special primary
Tennessee’s 7th congressional district, which includes rural areas and parts of Nashville, has been without representation since Republican Rep. Mark Green resigned in July. Republican Matt Van Epps, who was endorsed by President Donald Trump, won a crowded GOP primary, while state Rep. Aftyn Behn won the Democratic primary. The district voted for Trump by 22 points, so Van Epps will be favored in the December 2 general election.
Projected Winner
Tennessee: House 7 Republican Special Primary
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Matt Van Epps
Republican
51.6%
19,001
9,666 ahead
Jody Barrett
Republican
25.3%
9,335
Gino Bulso
Republican
10.9%
4,004
Lee Reeves
Republican
5.2%
1,929
Mason Foley
Republican
2.8%
1,022
Stewart Parks
Republican
1.6%
595
Jason Knight
Republican
1.0%
381
Stuart Cooper
Republican
0.6%
239
Tres Wittum
Republican
0.4%
133
Joe Leurs
Republican
0.3%
122
Adolph Agbeko Dagan
Republican
0.3%
93
Leading
Van epps
Results by county
county
Matt Van Epps
Jody Barrett
Gino Bulso
Lee Reeves
Mason Foley
Stewart Parks
Jason Knight
Stuart Cooper
Tres Wittum
Joe Leurs
Adolph Agbeko Dagan
Benton
Est. 99% in
51.5%
335
20.2%
131
18.9%
123
2.6%
17
1.7%
11
3.8%
25
0.2%
1
0.6%
4
0.3%
2
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
Cheatham
Est. 99% in
57.7%
1,691
23.2%
680
8.0%
234
4.0%
116
3.1%
90
1.4%
42
0.9%
26
0.5%
14
0.4%
13
0.6%
17
0.2%
7
Davidson
Est. 99% in
52.1%
1,359
18.2%
474
12.2%
317
6.1%
158
5.0%
130
2.0%
52
1.3%
34
0.9%
25
0.9%
24
0.5%
14
0.8%
20
Decatur
Est. 99% in
58.3%
427
16.4%
120
9.8%
72
3.7%
27
0.8%
6
7.9%
58
1.4%
10
1.0%
7
0.5%
4
0.1%
1
0.1%
1
Dickson
Est. 99% in
36.0%
1,504
52.7%
2,201
6.1%
256
3.0%
124
0.8%
32
0.7%
29
0.1%
6
0.2%
11
0.1%
5
0.2%
7
0.1%
3
Hickman
Est. 99% in
28.7%
567
52.7%
1,041
10.1%
199
3.0%
59
1.3%
26
2.7%
54
0.4%
8
0.5%
10
0.2%
4
0.2%
4
0.1%
2
Houston
Est. 99% in
34.6%
232
24.6%
165
31.9%
214
2.2%
15
0.6%
4
3.4%
23
0.4%
3
1.3%
9
0.3%
2
0.3%
2
0.1%
1
Humphreys
Est. 99% in
47.6%
568
30.8%
368
12.2%
146
4.0%
48
2.6%
31
1.0%
12
0.5%
6
0.9%
11
0.2%
2
0.0%
0
0.1%
1
Montgomery
Est. 99% in
66.9%
5,837
13.1%
1,148
10.5%
915
3.5%
307
1.2%
108
0.6%
51
2.4%
215
0.5%
41
0.4%
33
0.6%
50
0.3%
24
Perry
Est. 99% in
46.0%
230
33.4%
167
12.2%
61
2.6%
13
0.4%
2
3.6%
18
0.8%
4
0.6%
3
0.2%
1
0.0%
0
0.2%
1
Robertson
Est. 99% in
64.2%
2,810
14.3%
628
11.5%
503
3.5%
153
3.2%
141
1.6%
69
0.6%
25
0.5%
21
0.3%
13
0.1%
7
0.2%
8
Stewart
Est. 99% in
58.6%
590
14.6%
147
16.3%
164
3.4%
34
0.6%
6
4.0%
40
1.6%
16
0.2%
2
0.2%
2
0.4%
4
0.1%
1
Wayne
Est. 99% in
50.9%
457
29.8%
268
7.7%
69
3.3%
30
3.0%
27
4.5%
40
0.2%
2
0.6%
5
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
Williamson
Est. 99% in
37.4%
2,394
28.0%
1,797
11.4%
731
12.9%
828
6.4%
408
1.3%
82
0.4%
25
1.2%
76
0.4%
28
0.2%
16
0.4%
23
Projected Winner
Tennessee: House 7 Democratic Special Primary
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Aftyn Behn
Democratic
27.9%
8,648
932 ahead
Darden Copeland
Democratic
24.9%
7,716
Bo Mitchell
Democratic
24.2%
7,492
Vincent Dixie
Democratic
23.0%
7,146
Leading
Behn
Results by county
county
Aftyn Behn
Darden Copeland
Bo Mitchell
Vincent Dixie
Benton
Est. 99% in
21.0%
36
39.8%
68
38.0%
65
1.2%
2
Cheatham
Est. 99% in
24.7%
397
31.8%
510
37.4%
601
6.1%
98
Davidson
Est. 99% in
28.4%
3,914
13.5%
1,855
21.1%
2,914
37.0%
5,103
Decatur
Est. 99% in
8.8%
19
34.9%
75
54.9%
118
1.4%
3
Dickson
Est. 99% in
24.9%
376
26.4%
400
45.2%
684
3.5%
53
Hickman
Est. 99% in
13.3%
57
38.4%
164
44.5%
190
3.7%
16
Houston
Est. 99% in
27.7%
56
40.1%
81
29.2%
59
3.0%
6
Humphreys
Est. 99% in
15.1%
81
35.3%
189
46.2%
247
3.4%
18
Montgomery
Est. 99% in
28.8%
1,931
32.0%
2,145
18.1%
1,216
21.1%
1,419
Perry
Est. 99% in
9.4%
15
23.1%
37
66.2%
106
1.2%
2
Robertson
Est. 99% in
23.1%
372
42.2%
678
25.9%
417
8.7%
140
Stewart
Est. 99% in
17.3%
56
53.7%
174
24.7%
80
4.3%
14
Wayne
Est. 99% in
9.7%
15
49.4%
76
36.4%
56
4.5%
7
Williamson
Est. 99% in
36.8%
1,323
35.2%
1,264
20.6%
739
7.4%
265
September 23 contests
Arizona House 7 special election
In Arizona’s 7th congressional district, which stretches from the Phoenix area south to the Mexican border and includes parts of Tucson, Democrat Adelita Grijalva, a former county supervisor, will fill the congressional seat vacated by her late father, longtime Democratic Rep. Raul Grijalva. Republican Daniel Butierrez is a contractor who ran against the elder Grijalva last year. Grijalva’s win will likely provide enough support to force a vote on releasing more files related to the Jeffrey Epstein case.
Projected Winner
Arizona: House 7 Special Election
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Adelita Grijalva
Democratic
68.9%
70,148
40,204 ahead
Daniel Butierez
Republican
29.4%
29,944
Eduardo Quintana
Green
1.1%
1,118
Richard Grayson
No Labels
0.5%
537
Leading
Grijalva
Results by county
county
Adelita Grijalva
Daniel Butierez
Eduardo Quintana
Richard Grayson
Cochise
Est. 99% in
71.1%
3,327
27.3%
1,277
1.2%
56
0.4%
21
Maricopa
Est. 99% in
67.8%
6,221
30.5%
2,800
1.0%
94
0.7%
60
Pima
Est. 99% in
70.3%
49,992
28.1%
19,982
1.1%
793
0.5%
364
Pinal
Est. 99% in
36.7%
275
61.3%
460
0.8%
6
1.2%
9
Santa Cruz
Est. 99% in
69.7%
4,912
29.1%
2,047
0.8%
56
0.4%
28
Yuma
Est. 99% in
60.4%
5,421
37.7%
3,378
1.3%
113
0.6%
55
September 9 contests
Virginia House 11 special election
Fairfax County Supervisor James Walkinshaw will replace his former boss, longtime Democratic Rep. Gerry Connolly, as the representative for this district in the Northern Virginia suburbs of Washington D.C. Walkinshaw defeated lobbyist and former FBI agent Stewart Whitson. The Democratic victory further tightens the narrow GOP majority in the House.
Projected Winner
Virginia: House 11 Special Election
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
James Walkinshaw
Democratic
75.3%
113,596
76,299 ahead
Stewart Whitson
Republican
24.7%
37,297
Leading
Walkinshaw
Results by county
county
James Walkinshaw
Stewart Whitson
Fairfax
Est. 99% in
75.3%
109,595
24.7%
35,935
Fairfax City
Est. 99% in
74.6%
4,001
25.4%
1,362
Boston non-partisan mayoral primary
Progressive Boston Mayor Michelle Wu and Josh Kraft, a son of New England Patriots owner Robert Kraft, will face off in a non-partisan general election on November 4.
Boston: Mayor Non-partisan Primary
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Michelle Wu*
72.0%
66,398
45,074 ahead
Josh Kraft
23.1%
21,324
Domingos DaRosa
2.6%
2,409
Robert Cappucci
2.2%
2,074
August 5 contests
Detroit non-partisan mayoral primary
Nine candidates are running for mayor of Detroit hoping to replace outgoing mayor Mike Duggan, who has launched an independent bid for governor rather than seek a 4th term in office. The race is formally non-partisan with the top two candidates advancing to the general election on November 4.
Detroit: Mayor Non-partisan Primary
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Mary Sheffield
50.8%
43,597
28,697 ahead
Solomon Kinloch
17.4%
14,900
Saunteel Jenkins
16.0%
13,738
Todd Perkins
5.4%
4,603
James Craig
5.2%
4,458
Fred Durhal
3.4%
2,902
John Barlow
0.8%
707
DaNetta Simpson
0.6%
538
Joel Haashiim
0.4%
349
July 15 contests
Arizona House 7 special primary
Arizona’s 7th congressional district, which stretches from the Phoenix area south to the Mexican border and includes parts of Tucson, has been without representation since long-time Democratic Rep. Raul Grijalva died in March. Grijalva’s daughter Adelita, a former county supervisor, won the Democratic primary against 25-year-old political content creator Deja Foxx and former state Rep. Daniel Hernandez. She’ll be favored in the September 23 general election against Republican Daniel Butierez.
Projected Winner
Arizona: House 7 Democratic Special Primary
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Adelita Grijalva
Democratic
61.5%
38,679
24,601 ahead
Deja Foxx
Democratic
22.4%
14,078
Daniel Hernandez
Democratic
13.6%
8,541
Patrick Harris
Democratic
1.4%
925
Jose Malvido
Democratic
1.1%
687
Leading
Grijalva
Projected Winner
Arizona: House 7 Republican Special Primary
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Daniel Butierez
Republican
60.9%
11,121
6,527 ahead
Jorge Rivas
Republican
25.1%
4,594
Jimmy Rodriguez
Republican
14.0%
2,549
Leading
Butierez
June 24 contests
New York City mayoral primary
Zohran Mamdani officially clinched the Democratic nomination in the race to become New York City’s next mayor on July 1, pulling off a stunning upset over former governor Andrew Cuomo. While Mamdani, a 33-year-old democratic socialist, had been all but assured to be the party’s nominee after the June 24 primary, he hadn’t won a majority of first-round votes. It took a tabulation of the city’s ranked-choice votes to put Mamdani over 50% he needed to win.
Key Race
Projected Winner
New York City: Mayor Democratic Primary Ranked Choice Result
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Zohran Mamdani
Democratic
56.4%
573,169
129,940 ahead
Andrew Cuomo
Democratic
43.6%
443,229
Key Race
New York City: Mayor Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Zohran Mamdani
Democratic
43.8%
469,642
82,505 ahead
Andrew Cuomo
Democratic
36.1%
387,137
Brad Lander
Democratic
11.3%
120,634
Adrienne Adams
Democratic
4.1%
44,192
Scott Stringer
Democratic
1.7%
17,820
Zellnor Myrie
Democratic
1.0%
10,593
Whitney Tilson
Democratic
0.8%
8,443
Michael Blake
Democratic
0.4%
4,366
Jessica Ramos
Democratic
0.4%
4,273
Paperboy Prince
Democratic
0.1%
1,560
Selma Bartholomew
Democratic
0.1%
1,489
Leading
Mamdani
Cuomo
June 17 contests
Virginia results
The field for November’s governor election is already set with Republican Winsome Earle-Sears, Virginia’s lieutenant governor, facing former Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger but Democrats picked their nominees for lieutenant governor and attorney general. Republicans already had their nominees for both offices.
Projected Winner
Virginia: Lt. Governor Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Ghazala Hashmi
Democratic
27.5%
136,717
4,952 ahead
Levar Stoney
Democratic
26.5%
131,765
Aaron Rouse
Democratic
26.2%
130,485
Babur Lateef
Democratic
8.5%
42,099
Alexander Bastani
Democratic
5.7%
28,476
Victor Salgado
Democratic
5.6%
27,593
Leading
Lateef
Bastani
Stoney
Hashmi
Rouse
Projected Winner
Virginia: Attorney General Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Jay Jones
Democratic
51.1%
252,976
11,007 ahead
Shannon Taylor
Democratic
48.9%
241,969
Leading
Taylor
Jones
Tie
June 10 contests
New Jersey results
Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill defeated a crowded field of challengers, including mayors Ras Baraka of Newark and Steven Fulop of Jersey City to get the chance to replace outgoing Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy. On the Republican side, President Donald Trump’s endorsement helped 2021 nominee Jack Ciattarelli defeat conservative former talk radio host Bill Spadea. In November, Democrats will try to win a third consecutive term in the governor’s mansion, something that hasn’t happened since the 1960s, while Republicans hope to capitalize on their recent gains in the traditionally blue state.
Key Race
Projected Winner
New Jersey: Governor Democratic primary
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Mikie Sherrill
Democratic
34.0%
286,244
112,293 ahead
Ras Baraka
Democratic
20.7%
173,951
Steven Fulop
Democratic
16.0%
134,573
Josh Gottheimer
Democratic
11.6%
97,384
Sean Spiller
Democratic
10.6%
89,472
Steve Sweeney
Democratic
7.1%
59,811
Leading
Sweeney
Baraka
Spiller
Gottheimer
Sherrill
Key Race
Projected Winner
New Jersey: Governor Republican primary
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Jack Ciattarelli
Republican
67.8%
316,283
214,875 ahead
Bill Spadea
Republican
21.7%
101,408
Jon Bramnick
Republican
6.2%
29,130
Mario Kranjac
Republican
2.7%
12,782
Justin Barbera
Republican
1.4%
6,743
Leading
Ciattarelli
April 1 contests
Florida results
Republicans won two special Congressional elections in Florida, which were held to replace former GOP Reps. Michael Waltz and Matt Gaetz. While Waltz and Gaetz both won by more than 30 percentage points in November, the special election results were considerably closer.
Projected Winner
Florida: House 1
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Jimmy Patronis
Republican
56.9%
97,335
25,031 ahead
Gay Valimont
Democratic
42.3%
72,304
Stephen Broden
No Party Affiliation
0.8%
1,382
Leading Party
Rep
Lead
Win
Flip
Key Race
Projected Winner
Florida: House 6
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Randy Fine
Republican
56.7%
110,764
27,279 ahead
Josh Weil
Democratic
42.7%
83,485
Andrew Parrott
Libertarian
0.3%
701
Randall Terry
No Party Affiliation
0.3%
525
Leading Party
Rep
Lead
Win
Flip
Wisconsin results
Dane County Circuit Court Judge Susan Crawford won an open seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court to maintain the court’s 4-3 liberal majority. Crawford easily won the non-partisan race, despite Trump’s narrow 2024 victory in the state. Voters also approved a ballot measure to enshrine the state’s voter ID requirement in the state constitution and reelected the state’s Superintendent of Public Instruction.
Key Race
Projected Winner
Wisconsin: Supreme Court
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Susan Crawford
Non-Partisan
55.1%
1,301,153
238,740 ahead
Brad Schimel
Non-Partisan
44.9%
1,062,413
Leading
Crawford
Schimel
Projected Winner
Wisconsin: Question 1
Add voter ID requirement to state constitution?
OPTION
PERCENT
VOTES
Yes
62.8%
1,436,404
584,152 ahead
No
37.2%
852,252
Leading
No
Yes
Projected Winner
Wisconsin: Superintendent of Public Instruction
CANDIDATE
PERCENT
VOTES
Jill Underly*
Non-Partisan
52.9%
1,148,462
126,081 ahead
Brittany Kinser
Non-Partisan
47.1%
1,022,381
Leading
Underly
Kinser
Source: Results data via The Associated Press; Projections by CNN